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If Eric Swalwell leaves as U.S. House member before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 12, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Eric Swalwell be out as House member before May 1, 2026? are: Before Nov 3, 2026: 80%, Before May 1, 2026: 49%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Eric Swalwell be out as House member before May 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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