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If there are more than 5 fewer federal agencies (as of Jan 16, 2025) on July 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 25, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will DOGE cut at least 10 agencies? are: More than 5: 23%, More than 10: 19%, More than 20: 7%, More than 100: 3%, More than 30: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will DOGE cut at least 10 agencies? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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