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If Daniel P. Driscoll is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be ATF Director between November 19, 2024 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 26, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Brandon Herrera be confirmed as ATF Director by Dec 31, 2026? are: Robert Cekada: 69%, Regina Lombardo: 6%, Blake Masters: 4%, Daniel P. Driscoll: 4%, Daniel Board: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Brandon Herrera be confirmed as ATF Director by Dec 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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