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If the United States Congress has admitted another state to the union whose territory was a part of Canada; or, a state has added a new portion of territory that includes a city from Canada to its territory before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 31, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Canada be the 51st state? are: . These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Canada be the 51st state? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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