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If a law authorizing a new personal income tax bracket or surcharge on incomes over $1 billion for New York City residents has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 27, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? are: Yes: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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