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If Any country joins the EU by Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 31, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will any country join the EU by 2030? are: Any country: 73%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will any country join the EU by 2030? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.