Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026?
Updated Today
If any company (public or private) officially announces that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) after market issuance and before Jan 1, 2031, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026? are: Before Jan 1, 2031: 62%, Before Jan 1, 2030: 57%, Before Jan 1, 2029: 56%, Before Apr 1, 2028: 51%, Before Jul 1, 2028: 48%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Jul 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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