Updated Today
If an AI model has a score of at least 1750 before Jan 1, 2027 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 6, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 are: At least 1500 score: 99%, At least 1550 score: 60%, At least 1600 score: 30%, At least 1650 score: 19%, At least 1750 score: 13%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1550 before Jan 1, 2027 is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.