Updated Today
If an AI model has a score of at least 1700 before Jul 1, 2026 on the LMSYS leaderboard, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: At least 1500 scoreon Mar 26, 2026
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jul 1, 2026 are: At least 1500 score: 99%, At least 1525 score: 62%, At least 1550 score: 25%, At least 1575 score: 16%, At least 1600 score: 9%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will any AI model have a score of at least 1500 before Jul 1, 2026 is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
