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If another Quebec independence referendum has a date announced (either by the Quebec provincial government or the Canadian federal government) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 31, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029? are: Before 2029: 19%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will a date be announced for another Quebec Referendum before 2029? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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