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If Secretary of Defense is Wesley Hunt before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 22, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? are: No other person: 38%, Ron DeSantis: 13%, Joni Ernst: 11%, Steve Feinberg: 7%, Tom Cotton: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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