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If Sharon Brown advances in the 2026 CA-04 primary in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary? are: Mike Thompson: 91%, Eric Jones: 90%, Sharon Brown: 8%, Mandy Ghusar: 7%, Laurie MacKenzie: 6%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Who will advance from the 2026 CA-04 primary? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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