Which banks will fail

As of April 8, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Which banks will fail are: Citigroup: 2%, Scotiabank: 2%, BNP Paribas: 2%, UBS: 2%, HSBC: 1%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Which banks will fail is currently available on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.