Updated Today
If the FDA approves Orforglipron for marketing before Apr 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for When will the FDA approve Orforglipron? are: Before April 11: 78%, Before April 8: 37%, Before April 6: 27%, Before April 10: 26%, Before April 4: 18%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
When will the FDA approve Orforglipron? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.