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If Artemis II launches before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 27, 2026, the Kalshi odds for When will Artemis II launch? are: Before May 1, 2026: 81%, Before Apr 7, 2026: 76%, Before Apr 6, 2026: 71%, Before Apr 5, 2026: 65%, Before Apr 4, 2026: 62%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
When will Artemis II launch? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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