
Updated 4 months ago
Winners: East–West Pipeline, Mina Al-Ahmadi Refineryon Jun 21, 2026
Before What will Iran conduct military action against ended, the final Polymarket odds were: East–West Pipeline: 99%, Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery: 98%, Burj Khalifa: 11%, Leviathan Field: 5%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.