Updated 30m ago
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-30
No direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting occurred by June 30, 2026. Although President Trump announced a scheduled meeting in Doha on June 30, Iran denied any bilateral negotiations were planned, and Qatar's Foreign Ministry confirmed that US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met only with Qatari mediators, not Iranian officials. Technical-level talks between the two sides continued indirectly through mediators in Doha, but no qualifying high-level diplomatic meeting took place by the deadline.
As of July 13, 2026, the Polymarket odds for US x Iran diplomatic meeting are: June 30: 100%, April 14: 100%, April 30: 100%, May 31: 100%, June 15: 100%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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