US Invades Iran 2026

As of July 20, 2026, the Polymarket odds for US to invade Iran are: Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 22%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

US to invade Iran is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.