Updated 2 months ago
If the Unemployment rate is [outcome] in Jul 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Exactly 4.1%on Aug 7, 2026
Before Unemployment rate in Jul 2026? resolved, the final Kalshi odds were: Exactly 4.2%: 32%, Exactly 4.3%: 31%, Exactly 4.1%: 25%, Exactly 3.3%: 6%, Exactly 3.4%: 6%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has resolved on Kalshi. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
