
Updated 1 hr ago
Winners: 20+, 40+, 40+, 20+on Aug 7, 2026
Before __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day ended, the final Polymarket odds were: 20+: 100%, 40+: 100%, 40+: 100%, 20+: 100%, 10+: 81%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.