Polymarket$2.96BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$356.00MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$23.89MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If Jerome Powell is no longer Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors (not merely announces he leaves office) by Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Powell leaves before May 2026? are: Before May 2026: 4%, Before December: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Powell leaves before May 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
