MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Updated 40m ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 17, 2026
Polymarket's 89% price for Sal Stewart reflects an historically dominant 31 HR, 107 RBI rookie season that matches a statistical precedent: every 30-homer, 100-RBI rookie since 1947 has won the award. JJ Wetherholt, who briefly led the race in late August before landing on the injured list with wrist tendinitis, recently returned to action but at 5% on Polymarket faces an insurmountable deficit with only 10 games remaining. Stewart's hitter-versus-pitcher advantage and Wetherholt's lost time have essentially settled the race.
As of October 14, 2026, the Polymarket odds for MLB: NL Rookie of the Year are: Sal Stewart: 76%, Carson Benge: 21%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
MLB: NL Rookie of the Year is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
