Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

As of April 11, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? are: <4m sq km: 29%, 4.6-4.8m sq km: 25%, 4.0-4.2m sq km: 15%, 4.8-5m sq km: 4%, 5m+ sq km: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer? is currently available on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.