Updated Today
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 5.4% at 10:00 AM ET on Apr 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 10, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Above 5.4% are: . These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Above 5.4% is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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