
Updated 1 week ago
Winners: March 30, April 1, August 14, August 31on Sep 4, 2026
Before Iran successfully targets shipping on ended, the final Polymarket odds were: March 30: 100%, April 1: 100%, August 14: 97%, April 7: 97%, August 31: 95%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.