Iran military action against a Gulf State

As of March 30, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Iran military action against a Gulf State are: March 28: 95%, March 24: 88%, March 25: 86%, March 30: 84%, March 29: 82%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

Iran military action against a Gulf State is currently available on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.