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If there are at least 230,000 initial jobless claims for the week ending Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 2, 2026, the Kalshi odds for How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Apr 4, 2026? are: At least 185,000: 92%, At least 190,000: 91%, At least 195,000: 86%, At least 200,000: 74%, At least 205,000: 69%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
How many initial jobless claims will there be the week ending Apr 4, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.