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If the U.S. Senate lowers the threshold for the filibuster before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Filibuster weakened before 2027 are: Before January 20, 2029: 37%, Before 2028: 30%, Before 2027: 19%, Before 2026: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Filibuster weakened before 2027 is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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