Updated 3 months ago
Winner: Argentinaon Jun 17, 2026
What happened
Resolved 2026-06-16
Defending champion Argentina defeated Algeria 3-0 in their World Cup 2026 group-stage opener on June 16-17 at Kansas City Stadium. Lionel Messi scored his first-ever World Cup hat-trick, reaching 16 career World Cup goals to tie Germany's Miroslav Klose for the all-time record, and becoming at age 38 the oldest player to score a hat-trick in World Cup history.
Before Argentina vs. Algeria ended, the final Polymarket odds were: Argentina: 100%. These probabilities were derived from real-money trading right up until the market closed.
No — this market has ended on Polymarket. PredictMarketCap tracks thousands of active markets across Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun if you're looking for what's live now.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
