China Invade Taiwan by 2027

As of July 13, 2026, the Polymarket odds for China invade Taiwan are: Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?: 12%, Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?: 9%, Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: 4%, Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?: 1%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.

China invade Taiwan is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi & Limitless when it's listed on more than one platform.

Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.