Bernadette Wilson
David Bronson
Treg Taylor
Tom BegichMarket analysis
Analysis generated Sep 8, 2026
Polymarket gives Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins a commanding 60% win probability despite Alaska's solidly Republican lean and ranked-choice voting system in the November general. After winning the August primary with 21.7% of votes, Kreiss-Tomkins consolidated Democratic support when primary rival Tom Begich withdrew and endorsed him, leaving Republican businesswoman Bernadette Wilson at 31% odds as the sole Republican challenger in a field split between Wilson and former Anchorage Mayor Dave Bronson.
As of September 11, 2026, the Polymarket odds for Alaska Governor Election Winner are: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins: 60%, Bernadette Wilson: 34%, David Bronson: 11%, Treg Taylor: 3%, Tom Begich: 1%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Alaska Governor Election Winner is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Updated 5h ago
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