Updated 7h ago
If [outcome] has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of October 14, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay are: The Debut: 91%, Wild Horse Nine: 90%, Club Kid: 68%, Fjord: 55%, Obsession: 54%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Oscar nominees: Best Original Screenplay is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
