2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Updated 3m ago
Market analysis
Analysis generated Sep 7, 2026
Polymarket prices Carlos Alcaraz at 59% to win, reflecting his status as defending champion and the field's most polished player through to the quarterfinals—he dropped just one set defeating Tommy Paul. Alexander Zverev (23%), the top seed, has a fourth-round showdown Monday against Luciano Darderi but carries injury concerns; Ben Shelton (10%) and Frances Tiafoe (4%), both Americans who upset seeded players Sunday, now face much stiffer tests, with Shelton drawing Alcaraz himself. The market implies Alcaraz is the only player truly capable of controlling the title; Zverev's path opens only if he survives Darderi and the seeding holds.
As of September 7, 2026, the Polymarket odds for 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) are: Carlos Alcaraz: 56%, Alexander Zverev: 23%, Ben Shelton: 9%, Frances Tiafoe: 4%, Learner Tien: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) is currently listed on Polymarket. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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