Compare Newcastle United vs Adelaide United prediction market odds side by side across Kalshi, Polymarket. Platforms currently disagree by an average of 13.2pp, with the largest spread reaching 33.0pp. These price differences can signal arbitrage opportunities or reflect different trader sentiment. With $435.9K in combined trading volume across 4 outcomes, this is one of the notable cross-platform prediction markets.
Newcastle United Jets FC
Polymarket
KalshiCost: 67¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 33.0pp before fees.
View all arbs| Outcome | Kalshi | Polymarket | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|
Draw (Newcastle United Jets FC vs. Adelaide United FC) | - | - | |
T Tie | 46% |
Descriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If [OUTCOME] wins the [OUTCOME] vs Adelaide professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Newcastle vs Adelaide professional Australia A League soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 11, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
| - |
| - |
Newcastle United Jets FC | 33.0pp spread |
Adelaide United FC | 20.0pp spread |
