Compare Brazil vs Croatia prediction market odds side by side across Kalshi, Polymarket. Platforms currently disagree by an average of 4.8pp, with the largest spread reaching 17.0pp. These price differences can signal arbitrage opportunities or reflect different trader sentiment. With $1.14M in combined trading volume across 4 outcomes, this is one of the most actively traded cross-platform prediction markets.
Brazil
Polymarket
KalshiCost: 83¢ per pair → pays $1 at resolution. Gross spread 17.0pp before fees.
View all arbsDescriptions normalized for comparison (outcome names replaced with [OUTCOME])
If [OUTCOME] wins the [OUTCOME] vs Croatia professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Brazil vs Croatia professional Intl Friendlies soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
In the upcoming game, scheduled for March 31, 2026 If Brazil wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Different platforms may use different resolution criteria, data sources, and settlement timelines.
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Croatia | 2.0pp spread |
T Tie | - | - |
