Updated Today
Direct negotiations between Ukraine's Zelenskyy and Russia's Putin remain a distant prospect as the war continues. Markets currently give a direct conversation by March 31, 2025 just a 2% chance, reflecting the deep diplomatic freeze between the two leaders. Any talks would signal a major shift in the conflict's trajectory.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$117.65 return per $1
If No wins
$1.01 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$8.45M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$3.71M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$2.39M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K volMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$154.4K volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$469.5K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$2.32M vol
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary?
Outcome: Hungary
KalshiWill Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey?
Outcome: Turkey
