What are the current odds for "Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $18.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.0% or No shares at 93.0%. The market has $5.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Jan 10, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026?

Updated Today

Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? is currently trading at 7.0% on Polymarket, with $18,506 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

7.0%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$14.18 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1

Related Markets

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?

60.0%

$58.8K vol

-0.01% 24h

Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?

21.0%

$47.7K vol

Will US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?

16.0%

$16.1K vol

-0.01% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$5.3K

24h Volume$22

Total Volume$18.5K

Liquidity$5.3K

EndsEnded

End DateJan 10, 2026

Price Changes

24 hours+0.00%

7 days+0.02%

Trade Now

More Economics Markets

View all economics markets

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?

100.0%·

PM·$344.1K vol

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?

0.1%·

PM·$297.5K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?

0.1%·

PM·$302.3K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?

0.1%·

PM·$318.5K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET

0.1%·

PM·$268.3K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET

0.1%·

PM·$249.0K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET

100.0%·

PM·$237.2K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?

86.5%·

PM·$216.5K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET

0.1%·

PM·$213.3K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET

0.1%·

PM·$208.8K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3PM ET

100.0%·

PM·$203.4K vol

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET

100.0%·

PM·$199.7K vol