What are the current odds for "Will US annex any territory in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $44.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will US annex any territory in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.0% or No shares at 92.0%. The market has $13.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 8.0% on Polymarket, with $43,960 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

8.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$12.50 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.