What are the current odds for "Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 5.7% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $79.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 5.7% or No shares at 94.3%. The market has $9.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 3 months (Jun 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?

Updated Today

The Israeli-Palestinian conflict enters a critical juncture as markets give just a 6% chance Israel formally annexes Gaza territory by June 30, 2026. International law, U.S. pressure, and regional stability concerns make annexation politically and diplomatically fraught.

Current Probability

5.7%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$17.54 return per $1

If No wins

$1.06 return per $1