What are the current odds for "Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 19.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $67.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 19.0% or No shares at 81.0%. The market has $4.4K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?

Updated Ended

Donald Trump has long discussed launching a cryptocurrency, and markets currently give this a 18% chance of happening by year-end 2024. A Trump-branded coin could capitalize on his political base's crypto enthusiasm, though regulatory hurdles and his legal challenges may complicate any launch.

Current Probability

19.0%-0.03%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$5.26 return per $1

If No wins

$1.23 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2027?

Outcome: Before Jan 1, 2027

Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" before Mar 23, 2026?

Outcome: Crypto / Bitcoin

Will the United States Mint or the Department of the Treasury announce the official selection of a final design for a $1 coin featuring Donald Trump in 2026?

Outcome: In 2026

48.0%

$6.9K vol

++0.05% 24h