What are the current odds for "Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $113.2K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

Updated 1 week ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 7.5% on Polymarket, with $113,223 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

7.5%-0.02%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses or suggests María Corina Machado as Venezuelan state leader or president by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he would prefer or endorses another individual, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.