What are the current odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 100.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $169.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 100.0% or No shares at 0.0%. The market has $110.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?

Updated Today

The S&P 500 would need to drop significantly to hit $6,500 by March 31, 2026—a level last seen years ago. Markets price this scenario at 100%, likely reflecting either extremely pessimistic forecasts or a data error, making this among the most extreme economic predictions on the platform.

Current Probability

100.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$2000.00 return per $1