What are the current odds for "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.1% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $135.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.1% or No shares at 98.9%. The market has $65.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketeconomics

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,000 (LOW) in March 2026?

Updated Today

S&P 500 hitting $5,000 in March 2026 appears extremely unlikely, with markets giving it just a 2% probability by month-end. This would require approximately 8% gains in a single month—a steep climb from current levels.

Current Probability

1.1%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$86.96 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1