Updated Today
Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms? is currently trading at 17.5% on Polymarket, with $10,819 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$5.71 return per $1
If No wins
$1.21 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
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PM·$154.4K volTrump out as President by June 30?
PM·$470.5K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
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KalshiRepublicans House 2026 Control
Outcome: Republican Party
KalshiDems Hold House & Senate 2026
Outcome: Will Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House AND hold 51 or more seats in the Senate?
KalshiWill Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Outcome: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate?
KalshiWill more than 6 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?
Outcome: 7 or more
KalshiWill exactly 0 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?
Outcome: 0
KalshiWill exactly 1 House Republican members lose their primary in 2026?
Outcome: 1
