What are the current odds for "Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 16.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $100.4K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 16.5% or No shares at 83.5%. The market has $6.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Updated Ended

Oman's potential Abraham Accords membership before 2027 would represent major diplomatic realignment in the Middle East; markets currently give this an 18% chance by year-end 2026, reflecting skepticism about near-term normalization.

Current Probability

16.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.06 return per $1

If No wins

$1.20 return per $1