What are the current odds for "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 5.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $201.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 5.0% or No shares at 95.0%. The market has $13.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?

Updated Today

The Abraham Accords have dramatically reshaped Middle Eastern diplomacy since 2020, but markets give only a 6% chance another nation joins by March 31, 2026. Current geopolitical tensions and completed normalizations suggest momentum has slowed significantly.

Current Probability

5.0%+0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$20.00 return per $1

If No wins

$1.05 return per $1