What are the current odds for "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 24.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $86.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 24.5% or No shares at 75.5%. The market has $16.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?

Updated Today

Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado remains in exile following her disqualification from the 2024 presidential race, with markets giving her just a 31% chance of returning home by April 30, 2026. Her potential repatriation would signal a significant shift in the country's political dynamics.

Current Probability

24.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.08 return per $1

If No wins

$1.32 return per $1