
Updated Today
Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado remains in exile following her disqualification from the 2024 presidential race, with markets giving her just a 31% chance of returning home by April 30, 2026. Her potential repatriation would signal a significant shift in the country's political dynamics.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$4.08 return per $1
If No wins
$1.32 return per $1
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Machado Head of Venezuela Dec 2026
Outcome: María Corina Machado
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela before May 1, 2026?
Outcome: María Corina Machado
Will María Corina Machado be the head of state of Venezuela on Jun 1, 2026?
Outcome: María Corina Machado