What are the current odds for "Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 99.7% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $125.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 99.7% or No shares at 0.3%. The market has $15.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026?

Updated Ended

Markets assign a 100% probability to Israeli military action in Lebanon on March 19, 2026, reflecting either high confidence in an already-announced operation or settled expectations about regional escalation. The certainty pricing indicates this event is treated as inevitable rather than speculative.

Current Probability

99.7%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$333.33 return per $1