What are the current odds for "Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 86.9% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $6.2K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 86.9% or No shares at 13.1%. The market has $8.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026?

Updated Today

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 22, 2026? is currently trading at 86.9% on Polymarket, with $6,172 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

86.9%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.15 return per $1

If No wins

$7.60 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before Jan 1, 2027?

Outcome: Lebanon

18.0%

$18.3K vol

-0.04% 24h

Related Markets

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

78.5%

$98.5K vol

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 31, 2026?

86.5%

$10.4K vol

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 23, 2026?

88.5%

$5.6K vol

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 24, 2026?

85.5%

$5.0K vol

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$8.3K

24h Volume$1.5K

Total Volume$6.2K

Liquidity$8.3K

Ends1 weeks

End DateMar 31, 2026

Price Changes

Trade Now

More Trending Markets

Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?

0.1%·

PM·$19.10M vol

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?

100.0%·

PM·$5.82M vol

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

100.0%·

PM·$23.08M vol

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A

Spurs vs. Clippers

Lakers vs. Heat

Clippers vs. Pelicans

0.1%·

PM·$4.72M vol

LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B

Warriors vs. Celtics

Magic vs. Hawks

Suns vs. Timberwolves

0.1%·

PM·$3.38M vol

Celtics vs. Grizzlies

100.0%·

PM·$3.18M vol