What are the current odds for "Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 99.8% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $911.5K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 99.8% or No shares at 0.2%. The market has $302.9K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?

Updated Today

As Israel navigates ongoing regional tensions, prediction markets currently give a 74% chance of military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026. This reflects persistent security concerns and the volatile geopolitical situation in the Middle East, where escalations remain a recurring risk.

Current Probability

99.8%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.00 return per $1

If No wins

$400.00 return per $1